Saturday, December 04, 2010

multitasking - surface thoughts


One thing at a time, please

ByTim Harford

The result was fascinating: on the multitasking runs, people were perfectly good at making predictions on the fly, but couldn't then explain the underlying patterns, or apply them flexibly in other contexts. The technical term for this is that their "declarative learning" was stunted by the distraction. In short, multitaskers seem competent at the time but may not be taking much away from their experiences.

I try hard not to make that mistake. Even the twin monitors are designed so that while I'm reading a research paper on screen, this column stays in view.

But I am guilty of an entirely different form of multitasking: in any given month, I have lots of projects on the go. This feels a world away from distracting myself with instant messaging. In fact it feels symptomatic of being a grown-up in the 21st century. But perhaps it, too, is unhelpful.

The psychologists' lab isn't well-suited to testing that hypothesis, but there is a new working paper from three economists, Decio Coviello, Andrea Ichino and Nicola Persico. They studied the caseload of 31 judges in a specialised court in Milan, who over five years dealt with over 58,000 cases. Because of the way cases are randomly assigned, and a rule stating that cases must open no later than 60 days after assignment, some judges find themselves with many more cases open at the same time. Coviello and his colleagues find that judges who have been obliged to work on many cases in parallel take longer to complete similar portfolios of cases. One implication is that the 60-day rule probably slows the average case down rather than speeding it up.

The message for the rest of us is that Publilius Syrus was right about multitasking. One thing at a time is best. The exception, I suppose, is if you'd rather not remember what you're supposed to be doing. No wonder so many of us check our BlackBerries in meetings.

Tim Harford's latest book is 'Dear Undercover Economist' (Little, Brown)

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Serfs .... 14th century/21st century


some of the comments are interesting too....  

In the Middle Ages, tenant farmers worked three months of the year for the lord of the estate. In return, they got land, house, and the advantages of the communal defense system. Three months. And we call these people serfs. In grade school, we thought of serfdom as only slightly removed from slavery. Yet in my home state of New York, "Tax Freedom Day" is in late May. We work the first 140-odd days of the year just to pay local, state and federal taxes…and we still haven't done anything about the shelter itself. With roughly a third of the average after-tax middle-class income going toward housing, we can conservatively add another 90 days to reach "Shelter Freedom Day" sometime in late August. So now we're committed to eight months labor to achieve what the peasants of the Middle Ages accomplished by their three-month contract with their lords. If these poor wretches were serfs, what word can we find to describe ourselves?

~ Rob Roy, Mortgage-FREE! p. x, 1998

Well, it's 30% for consumer debt servicing, 40% for the house, and 10% for the car. We just add 20% for health care for those who don't get it.
Let's see, that leaves …
Hmm. I think I just discovered why so many people are relying on food stamps.

Friday, October 22, 2010

Saturday, May 29, 2010

go green

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Questions for change

Progress Engage in Solidarity What in individual life can be better? How do we make the world better? Find thing to WIN. Heal ourselves Trus...